Betting tips & preview: Germany – France 7/7: Is this the true final?

by Simon Palsson6th July 2016
The second team to reach the Euro 2016 final is going to be decided this Thursday night, when the host nation France is facing the German giants at Stade Vélodrome in Marseille. Which team will face Portugal in the final?

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Which team will face Portugal in the Euro 2016 final this weekend? That is the big question ahead of the second semifinal clash this week.

Germany is facing the host nation France at Stade Vélodrome in Marseille this Thursday night. The Germans are hoping to reach another big final, but France has proved to be a very strong team the last couple of weeks.

Nicola Rizzoli from Italy has been named the referee for this game.

Kick-off: 8.00pm GMT, Thursday 7 June
Venue: Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Referee: Nicola Rizzoli (ITA)

Germany

Recent form (all competitions): DWWDW
Unavailable players: Mats Hummels, Mario Gomez, Sami Khedira

Germany has had a great tournament so far. They actually haven’t lost so far and that is thanks to a very solid defending.

As we know from earlier, Germany is a great team with the ball and a big part of their strong defensive play is that they have a lot of possession during the game. Without the ball, the opponents can’t hurt you, that’s no science in that.

However, Germany hasn’t been that strong offensively this tournament. Their fantastic combinations and high-speed game hasn’t really shown so far.

In the quarterfinal, Joacim Löw’s team had to knock-out Italy after penalties.

Ahead of this game, Germany has a big problem with missing players. Mats Hummels, the key centre-back, is out following a suspension. Sami Khedira and striker Mario Gomez will also miss both the game and the rest of the tournament due to injuries. A couple of big losses there.

France

Recent form (all competitions): WWDWW

The host nation France has played very good so far, especially in the last couple of games. In the 1/8 final, they knocked out Ireland after coming back from an early Irish goal.

In the last game, they easily won against Iceland and even though they haven’t really faced any of the big countries yet, France has proved to be a very solid team.

Offensively, they have impressed us a lot. Antoine Griezmann has been terrific for the French team, alongside his striker partner Oliver Giroud and the midfielder Paul Pogba. Don’t you forget Dimitri Payet, who also has been a big name in this tournament, scoring that fantastic goal in the premiere for example.

However, defensively we feel that France has a few things to improve. When facing one of the best teams in the world, they really need to step that part of their game up, we believe.

Ahead of this game, it is doubtful whether or not Oliver Giroud is able to start the game. He will face some late fitness tests to determine his status on game day.

Our prediction

Even though Germany hasn’t impressed with that many goals or their usual fantastic offensive kind of playing, they are expected to threat France a lot during this game.

France, of course, will create a lot of chancing in front of their home supporters. That part of their game so far hasn’t been a problem. With so many great offensive players on the pitch at the same time, they will get dangerous. The question is rather where and when, rather than if they going to create major chances.

We believe in an open game, with the offensive players in focus.

Therefore, we put our money on over 2 goals (asian handicap) to 17/20 (1,85) at bet365. If there is exactly 2 goals in the game, we get our money back.

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Betting tips:

Betting tips:  Over 2 goals (asian handicap)
Odds: Fraction: 17/20 | Decimal: 1,85
Bookie: Bet365 (£200 bonus)
Kick-off: Thursday 7 June 8.00pm GMT

Best odds:

Bet Fraction Decimal Bookie
Germany  2/1  3,00
Draw  21/10  3,10
France  9/5  2,80
Over 2,5 goals  29/20  2,45
Under 2,5 goals  57/100  1,57

 

1: 33%
X: 33%
2: 36%
Over 2,5 goals: 39%
Under 2,5 goals: 64%